Initially I thought that Ghadhafi could resist the impact of Egyptian and Tunisian uprisings. It had a relatively smaller population and greater oil revenue, theoretically that could help him buy off his subjects. He was also trying to leave the “anti-imperialist” front of Castro’s Cuba, Ortega’s Nicaragua, Chavez’s Venezuela, Mugabe’s Zimbabwe and Ahmadinejad’s Iran. Ghadhafi made amends with the US and other Western democracies, over the Lockerbie bombing and curtailed his ambitions to go nuclear. The Libya’s economy was having a healthy growth and there were lots of foreign investment pouring in particularly from Europe.
Sunday, February 27, 2011
Sunday, February 20, 2011
More than two decades of anti-imperialist ideological development rejecting a “Westoxicated” monarchy (see my post “Westoxication”) as the pivotal source of the Iranian problems, internally prepared the alignment of the Iranian intellectuals with the most backward ideological elements of the clergy.
Monday, February 14, 2011
Is Egypt’s revolt leading to an Islamic government fulfilling multiple prophesies that I mentioned in the previous post? One cannot dismiss this possibility out of hand but I believe the evidence does not support that outcome.
Thursday, February 10, 2011
For the last few days and weeks I have been watching the developments in Tunisia and Egypt with much apprehension and doubt reliving the past. I have been through the youth radicalization of the 60s and 70s in the U.S., campaigned and participated in the overthrow of the Shah more than three decades ago – becoming emotionally overwhelmed and at times feeling drowned in the mass protests of 1978 and 79 in Iran. With those experiences I could identify with the hopes and fears of the young Tunisians and Egyptians who were pouring into the streets. I could see myself in them and their boundless energy, in their eyes full of hopes for a new future and full of fear about what might lie ahead. They are pushing forward relentlessly changing the Middle East.